Europe
Risks will outweigh recovery chances in Eastern Europe
The prospects for the four V4 economies are looking up cautiously, surrounded by risks
Eastern EuropeFrance’s domestic climate agenda will be cautious
President Emmanuel Macron’s ambitious drive for climate action internationally is not reflected at the domestic level
FranceIreland’s position towards Israel could harden further
There is bipartisan support in Ireland for criticising Israeli actions and showing sympathy to the Palestinians
IrelandGlobal internet governance faces strain not severance
Internet governance has become a major theatre of geopolitical contestation
InternationalEconomic pressure will increase on Italian government
Italy’s expansionary budget coincides with growing pressure on the government to tighten spending
ItalyRussia will spur East European modernised air defence
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has spurred NATO members to strengthen their military posture and upgrade air defence
Eastern EuropeWar in Ukraine will revive but not ease EU enlargement
Russian aggression has led the EU to open an accession path to Ukraine and Moldova as Western Balkan hopefuls languish
EuropeRussian harvest will be close to a record high
A strong grain and vegetable harvest is helping Russian food production to reach near-record levels
Russia
