Europe

  • Nov 24, 2023
  • 6 min read

Dutch parties will find it hard to reject Wilders

After years in opposition, far-right leader Geert Wilders is in a strong position to lead the next government

Netherlands
  • Nov 24, 2023
  • 7 min read

Prospects for climate diplomacy in 2024

With next year looking set to be the hottest on record, world leaders continue to drag their feet on climate change

International
  • Nov 23, 2023
  • 7 min read

Poland’s expected new government faces range of risks

The pro-EU opposition’s election win has cheered markets but policy risks will moderate their expectations eventually

Poland
  • Nov 23, 2023
  • 7 min read

Prospects for Black Sea security in 2024

Russia’s naval superiority in the region is in doubt as its fleet is being eliminated by Ukrainian missiles and drones

Russia
  • Nov 22, 2023
  • 7 min read

Slovak-Hungarian entente will not affect Western unity

After the likely departure of the PiS-led government in Poland, Fico-led Slovakia is now Hungary’s closest EU ally

Slovakia
  • Nov 21, 2023
  • 7 min read

Catalan polarisation will increase in Spanish politics

Pedro Sanchez’s deal with Catalan separatist forces has triggered major counter demonstrations in Madrid

Spain
  • Nov 21, 2023
  • 7 min read

Russia will lose more influence in the South Caucasus

Distracted by its war in Ukraine, Russia is unable to perform the role of regional hegemon in the South Caucasus

Caucasus
  • Nov 21, 2023
  • 8 min read

Prospects for the oil market in 2024

A wide divergence in demand forecasts casts uncertainty over oil markets in 2024

International