Europe
New UK leader will struggle to unite ruling party
Rishi Sunak takes over a party that has been consumed by deep divisions since the 2016 Brexit referendum
United KingdomTight supply and uncertain demand to drive oil markets
Oil demand forecasts for 2023 vary due to high uncertainties; tight supply will gradually ease
InternationalPolls will heat up Polish claim for German reparations
Polish claim for substantial compensation for the Nazi occupation is unlikely to succeed but there are political gains
PolandDebt distress to far outgrow global mitigation efforts
Discussions of developing economies' debt overstate sovereign debt and China's role and underplay private sector debt
InternationalRecord UK external deficit will cut long-run GDP
The UK current account deficit was 7.2% of GDP in the first quarter and it remains high, raising broader economic fears
United KingdomSouth-east Asia drives commercialisation of fake news
Disinformation is becoming an increasingly organised industry, with South-east Asia emerging as a major centre
South-east AsiaExternal factors will slow Greek GDP growth next year
Having exited the EU’s ‘enhanced surveillance’, Greece may now be in a better position to weather a slowdown in 2023
GreeceCOP27 climate summit looks likely to disappoint
The COP27 climate change conference will be held this year in Egypt, against a backdrop of heightened global tensions
International
