Europe
Economy may suffer as party leaves Slovak government
Fragile leadership will tilt Slovakia’s long-term economic prospects further to the downside
SlovakiaOrlen super-group will adhere to Poland’s ruling party
Political motivations dominate the expansion strategy of Polish oil refiner and petrol retailer PKN Orlen
PolandDisruptive financial market volatility will persist
Debate among investors over whether the world economy is approaching a soft or hard landing dominates financial markets
InternationalFrance’s LR remains split on whether to support Macron
The centre-right’s position will determine Macron’s ability to implement his policy agenda
FranceSpain should avoid recession but growth will slow
Spain has less direct exposure to the war in Ukraine than other EU countries
SpainMacron visit to Algeria may improve bilateral rhetoric
The French president has arrived in Algeria for a three-day visit with a large delegation
AlgeriaPositive euro-area rates will have multiple impacts
The ECB’s main policy interest rates will be back in positive territory next month after eight years below zero
EUPolish president’s independence will be limited
Duda’s change of behaviour reflects international circumstances, particularly developments in the war in Ukraine
Poland
