Middle East
Prospects for the Middle East in 2023
Cross-border violence through the use of airstrikes, missiles and drones has increased in northern Iraq and Syria
Middle EastGulf leaders lose interest in pan-Arab issues
Algeria is hosting an Arab League summit at the start of November, but most Gulf leaders will not attend
Middle EastGrowth will slow in the Middle East and North Africa
The World Bank forecasts that 2022 will record the strongest growth in the MENA region since 2016
Middle EastIran deal failure would raise Middle Eastern tensions
The most likely outcome for the Iranian nuclear talks is stalemate, but failure to agree a deal is a possibility
Middle EastMiddle East and East Med climate warming is inevitable
The Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East are warming twice as fast as the global average
Middle EastArab desire to migrate will remain high
Political instability and poor economies keep open migration as an option for many Arabs
Middle EastMiddle East refugee return would destabilise situation
Turkey and Jordan wish to return Syrian refugees voluntarily, while Lebanon has outlined a forced return proposal
Middle EastTurkey is adopting a more statesmanlike pose abroad
Mending fences with regional enemies and mediating in third-party disputes buttress Turkey’s status as a world power
Turkey
