North Africa

Developments in Egypt will also affect Libya's prospects, while unemployment and corruption will preoccupy the Maghreb

With migration flows under some control through the Balkans, Europe is focusing on North Africa

Socio-economic concerns are more important than the limited threat from jihadi terrorism in most Sahelian countries

Social protests are a growing feature of the political landscape in the Maghreb

Iraq, Syria and Yemen, the UN's three top emergencies, are all in the Middle East -- but donor responses vary

The US election will alter the state of play in Libya, but elsewhere the primary driving force will be economics

Al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb is expanding its operations in the region

Regional conflicts and fallout from cheap oil will dominate the next six months