Armenia
Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict over Karabakh is settled
This background brief explains the failure of diplomacy and the recourse to a military solution to the Karabakh conflict
ArmeniaTensions between Armenia and Azerbaijan will grow
Azerbaijani army attacks in Armenia’s Syunik province reportedly left several soldiers dead and more wounded
ArmeniaThe EU will encounter obstacles in the South Caucasus
The EU has attempted to intensify its engagement in the South Caucasus, with varying degrees of success
CaucasusArmenia and Azerbaijan will import more arms
Baku and Yerevan are upgrading their militaries by increasing their imports of arms from a growing range of suppliers
ArmeniaBaku’s ties with the West will worsen
US Secretary of State Blinken and President Aliyev were in contact last month in an effort to improve fraying relations
AzerbaijanYerevan will not formally leave CSTO
Deputy Foreign Minister Mnatsakan Safarian said that Armenia is not considering leaving the Russian-led CSTO
ArmeniaRussia will lose more influence in the South Caucasus
Distracted by its war in Ukraine, Russia is unable to perform the role of regional hegemon in the South Caucasus
CaucasusArmenia will seek peace deal with Azerbaijan
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan claimed the key points of a peace agreement have been agreed with Azerbaijan
Armenia
