Russia
Russian aircraft plan will face serious obstacles
Western sanctions have prompted the Russian government to develop a plan to build hundreds of new passenger aircraft
RussiaRussia will exploit tension but will not encourage war
Iran's missile and drone strikes on Israel on April 14 complicated Moscow's delicate balancing act in the Middle East
RussiaNorth Caucasus will remain under Moscow's control
A rise in insurgency activity has raised questions over Moscow's ability to retain control over a volatile region
RussiaPyongyang’s Beijing and Moscow ties will be complex
Russia has vetoed more UN monitoring of Pyongyang's sanctions breaches as Moscow and Beijing boost North Korea outreach
North KoreaRussia's Black Sea Fleet is not yet defeated
Ukrainian attacks have disrupted the activities of the Black Sea Fleet but have not destroyed it
RussiaRecovery of Russian consumption is likely to moderate
Household consumption has recovered from the shock of the imposition of draconian Western sanctions in 2022
RussiaParallel imports continue to support Russia’s economy
Parallel imports have played an important role in enabling Russia to mitigate the worst effects of Western sanctions
RussiaLimits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist
Economic ties with Turkey have grown in importance over the past two years, despite significant foreign policy tensions
Turkey
