Russia
Russian ICBM use a response to use of Western missiles
Ukraine claimed that Russia used an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) against it for the first time in the war
RussiaInternational discord will compound Haiti crisis
Haiti’s gang violence is soaring and the international community is in disagreement about how to respond
HaitiMoscow is better placed to fund a long war than Kyiv
The war has caused the strain on public finances to grow in Russia and Ukraine
RussiaRelations between Georgia and Abkhazia will improve
Moscow has indicated that it could facilitate closer ties between Tbilisi and the two breakaway regions
GeorgiaUkraine use of ATACMS on Russia will elicit a response
The Kremlin warned it will respond to any use of US-supplied missiles on Russian territory
RussiaCable damage raises Nordic threat perception in Europe
Two subsea cables, connecting Germany and Finland and Lithuania and Sweden, have been damaged
NorwayModernisation of Russian Pacific Fleet will be slow
The Pacific Fleet’s combat capabilities have diminished due to the slow pace of naval modernisation
RussiaRussia will keep attacking Ukraine’s energy system
Russia launched a massive missile and drone attack on Ukraine’s energy system over the weekend
Ukraine
