Russia/CIS
GenAI adoption alone will not markedly lift global GDP
Research confirms that GenAI is being adopted faster than the PC and internet were, and broadly across occupations
InternationalBelarusian opposition in exile will likely fragment
The Belarusian opposition in exile is evolving, with new factions emerging that are rising in importance
BelarusRussia’s coal industry will continue to struggle
Western sanctions have pushed Russia’s coal industry into crisis
RussiaKazakhstan will target gas and oil processing
Kazakhstan is accelerating efforts to use more gas and increase domestic oil refinery capacity
KazakhstanRussia’s relations with Egypt will face limits
Russia and Egypt have grown closer as both countries seek to diversify their range of foreign partnerships
RussiaRussia is unlikely to support the Huthis militarily
Russia's approach to Yemen is shaped by longstanding ties with different groups and deep engagement with the Gulf states
YemenProlonged high costs will hit tourism rebound momentum
Tourism has recovered strongly in 2023 and 2024 but faces headwinds from high costs and geopolitical tensions
InternationalRussian resource export ban will have modest impact
Russia is considering imposing export restrictions as part of any response to increased NATO support to Ukraine
Russia
