Iran
Iran will boost its influence in the South Caucasus
The proposed Zangezur corridor threatens to destabilise geopolitical relationships in the South Caucasus
IranBRICS unlikely to offer Russia extra support
The annual BRICS summit held in Russia last week delivered few meaningful initiatives
RussiaMajor attack by Iran on Israel unlikely in short term
The escalating violence in northern Israel and Lebanon is triggering more calls for Iran to actively support Hezbollah
IranIran's new president will face policy challenges
President Masoud Pezeshkian is unlikely to change economic, social or foreign policy in the medium term
IranTies between Bahrain and Iran will improve slowly
Talks to restore diplomatic ties between Bahrain and Iran will progress but economic relations will evolve more slowly
BahrainIran's presidential election to yield little change
The inclusion of a reformist candidate is intended to reverse a long-running trend of disengagement among voters
IranRussia will exploit tension but will not encourage war
Iran's missile and drone strikes on Israel on April 14 complicated Moscow's delicate balancing act in the Middle East
RussiaIran is approaching the limits of its oil expansion
Ambitious plans face constraints from production capacity and possibly reinforced sanctions
IranTurkey-Turkmen-Iranian gas swap could move quickly
Ankara and Ashkabat in March signed preliminary agreements on gas trading plans
Turkey
