France
French Socialists could shift to the left
The leftist former Education Minister Benoit Hamon could win the Socialist Party’s primaries and become party leader
FranceItaly and Spain may see more terrorist attacks
The situation in the two countries could resemble that of other European states in the long term
ItalyDivisions will harm French Socialists' prospects
While right-wing voters face a clear choice in the upcoming elections, the left-wing vote will be split
FranceFrance’s economy will fail to accelerate in 2017
With only modest economic growth and persistent high unemployment, the country’s fiscal position will remain difficult
FranceWeak euro and pound will continue to help exporters
The latest manufacturing PMI surveys suggest currency weakness is helping European exporters sell more on world markets.
EuropeRwanda will prioritise regional issues
Despite a new public row with France, Rwanda's foreign policy objectives are focused closer to home
RwandaFrench elections are likely to see shift to the right
With a divided Left, the presidential elections may become a competition between the centre-right and the far-right
FranceRussia will exert multiple pressures on EU states
The EU recognises the threats, but disarray may undermine its ability to act on them
Russia
