Norway
Norway's government will seek to avoid EU debate
Although a new referendum on EU membership is unlikely, Brexit threatens to open old wounds
NorwayNorway's government drives post-oil diversification
Despite recovering oil prices, the government is keen to put the economy on a broader footing
NorwayNorway's defence focus will shift to the High North
A long-term plan responds to Russia's increasing military activity and may put the Nordic region back on NATO's agenda
NorwayGlobal mining M&A deals will be small and few
Mining companies' capital bases have deteriorated; they are likely neither to be acquirers nor acquired
InternationalGIUK gap will prompt NATO anti-sub procurements
Increased Russian submarine patrols have returned NATO's attention to the North Atlantic
NATONorway's oil downturn will hit indebted households
If households start deleveraging, it could depress the non-oil economy which is already stagnating
NorwayRussia tensions may hinder Arctic governance
Russia has submitted a renewed claim to seabed beneath the North Pole, which will be considered by the United Nations
ArcticHigh house prices may be global systemic risk
Global house prices have returned to their pre-crisis level
International
