Global mining M&A deals will be small and few

Mining companies' capital bases have deteriorated; they are likely neither to be acquirers nor acquired

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In this article

  • Misreading the prices
  • Longer times to reach production
  • Reliance on government support
  • Industrial response to the downturn
  • 2011-13: the era of denial
  • 2013-15: the era of working for lenders
  • The role of asset disposals
  • Bad timing
  • Incomplete information
  • Raising equity
  • Who would be the buyers?
  • Commodity-trading firms
  • Private equity firms
  • Sovereign wealth funds
  • Positive correlation
  • Risk aversion
  • Lack of mining expertise
  • Chinese state-owned enterprises
  • Other non-Western players
  • Could closures accelerate?

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.