United Kingdom
EU/UK financial trading risks need close monitoring
Risk concentration in EU and UK financial trading has the potential to disrupt markets at times of high volatility
EUUK election will determine direction of EU relations
The opposition Labour Party has pledged to pursue closer relations with Brussels should it lead the next government
United KingdomDUP crisis threatens Northern Irish stability
Jeffrey Donaldson suddenly resigned last week as leader of the Democratic Unionist Party
United KingdomReform UK could impact next election outcome
Support for the right-wing populist Reform UK has doubled over the past year
United KingdomDivergent rules raise sanctions compliance risks
Different US, EU and UK beneficial ownership registries and divergence on regulation and enforcement powers raise risks
InternationalEast Europeans will gain influence on Western security
Russia’s aggression in Ukraine has drawn attention to Central-Eastern European security, shifting the focus eastwards
Eastern EuropeAny recovery from the UK recession will be very modest
The economic slowdown accelerated towards the end of 2023 with the economy entering technical recession
United KingdomUK Labour may struggle to win majority
Labour is the strong favourite to win the next UK election, but its path to a majority has been made more difficult
United Kingdom