Bolivia

Despite his narrow loss, Morales still has three years to plan a succession but the MAS may have lost momentum

Even if he loses the referendum, Morales will have time to hand pick a successor before the 2020 elections

President Evo Morales remains popular, but support for a new re-election is not a foregone conclusion

A relatively close opinion poll suggests that constitutional reform to allow a new re-election is not a certainty

Russia may prove one of the few sources of foreign energy investment, despite efforts to address nationalisation fallout

Political stability does not appear to be at serious risk, despite re-election issues and a modest economic outlook

Morales may yet aspire to reach two decades in office, although the referendum is not the only obstacle

Europe's cocaine levels have been stable since 2010, raising questions on the ways traffickers use to evade interdiction