Guyana

Oil price uncertainties and tensions with neighbouring Venezuela could mar short-term prospects

ExxonMobil's discovery off Guyana's coast may provide a new distraction for Caracas

The easing of tensions on one Venezuelan border, with Colombia, may encourage worsening rifts with Guyana

Diplomacy and international ties will suffer as pre-election pressures on the government mount

Regional organisations will attempt to mediate in the dispute, reluctant to side openly with either party

ExxonMobil's activities offshore will prompt a new rise in bilateral tensions even as Venezuela's outlook worsens

The latest oil discovery, given ExxonMobil's confrontations with Caracas, may cause more problems than it solves

Resource management, transparency and residual political frictions will present difficulties for the new administration