Peru

Despite the government's good record on prioritising education, quality and skills mismatches remain problematic

Guzman seems likely to reach a second round in June; though an 'outsider', he would be unlikely to spell policy shifts

Humala is now the first head of state to be implicated in bribe allegations, but corporate scrutiny is expanding

With most mainstream candidates faltering, a 'dark horse' candidate will likely challenge Fujimori in June

Greater extractive activity has helped to offset lower prices, although rising interest rates could curb growth in 2016

Anaemic growth and rising inflation will put conflicting pressures on monetary policy

Despite the government's largely prudent economic policies, metals prices are putting revenues at risk

A weak party system and a multiplicity of candidates points to a second round, with Fujimori a likely participant