Latin America
Mexico National Guard militarisation is highly likely
The government is quickly pressing ahead with security sector reforms
MexicoGradual, steady growth will continue in Guatemala
Guatemala is resilient to shocks, but it is heavily reliant on remittances and faces increasing structural gaps
GuatemalaChinese supply squeeze to keep antimony prices high
Demand for antimony, a key ingredient in military and new energy tech, is high but China has just banned its export
InternationalElections remain a long way off in Haiti
Haiti is taking steps towards holding new elections, but security and democratic normality still seem distant prospects
HaitiRising copper investments will boost output in Chile
Investments in copper have been increasing and are expected to show a new surge in the next few years
ChileColombia attack will probably mark end of ELN talks
An attack in Arauca resulted in dozens of casualties and dealt a major blow to Petro’s Total Peace project
ColombiaJudicial reform will hit investor confidence in Mexico
Fresh foreign investment has plummeted in Mexico this year, against a backdrop of anticipation of major reforms
MexicoHousing market distortions will hinder economic growth
Relatively high home ownership raises at least as many wider economic costs as benefits
International