Latin America
Gang politics will shape Haiti’s security environment
Foreign intervention in Haiti could have stabilising and destabilising effects
HaitiMigrant arrivals in US cities will not change policies
Republicans see immigration as a means to connect with traditionally Democratic urban voters in the 2024 elections
United StatesMajor projects will not ease southern Mexico poverty
The president has sought to boost development in southern states, with limited success
MexicoPoverty will complicate Argentine elections and beyond
The poverty rate rose to 40.1% in the first half and will have worsened since
ArgentinaParaguay-Argentina river rift will have a wider impact
Paraguay and other Mercosur countries are pushing back on Argentine tolls on the key Paraguay-Parana waterway
ParaguayBrazil rate cuts could slow in coming months
The Central Bank looks likely to implement another 50-point cut in November but may slow the pace of cuts thereafter
BrazilAnti-migrant sentiment will build in Costa Rica
Politically, soaring inward migration presents both challenges and opportunities for Chaves
Costa RicaMexico’s presidency is Sheinbaum’s to lose
Morena retains a comfortable presidential election poll lead despite the emergence of a competitive opposition candidate
Mexico
