Eritrea
Prospects for the Gulf of Aden and Red Sea in 2018-22
Cross-cutting alliances and enmities, and growing military and commercial ties, shape relations across the Gulf of Aden
East AfricaEast African ports may channel regional tensions
As states in the region look to increase trade through major port upgrades, political tensions have emerged
East AfricaEthiopian reforms will open little new political space
The recent Oromo Special Interest bill aims to further ease tensions after last year's protests
EthiopiaEritrea will push to reduce its isolation
Migration and security issues present Eritrea with an opening to re-engage on the global stage
EritreaMigration will shape Eritrea's foreign relations
Eritrean emigration is creating opportunities for Asmara to engage with the EU but also affects regional relations
EritreaEritrea's isolation will not improve in the near term
Eritrea's limited international engagement will not markedly improve in the near term despite overtures
EritreaEthiopia and Eritrea will leverage border clash
International and domestic factors will influence the Ethiopia-Eritrea relationship
EritreaMore clashes between Ethiopia and Eritrea are possible
Eritrea may use military action to evade recent criticism or internal challenges
Eritrea