Iran
Russia will lose more influence in the South Caucasus
Distracted by its war in Ukraine, Russia is unable to perform the role of regional hegemon in the South Caucasus
CaucasusIran-backed Iraq militias will curb anti-US escalation
A high-security trip by the US secretary of state highlights concerns over Shia militias’ plans
IraqRussia will seek to benefit from the Israel-Hamas war
Moscow is engaged in intensive diplomacy over the Gaza conflict, but without any substantive impact on the ground
RussiaIran will adopt policies to reduce Afghan refugees
The flow of Afghan refugees is becoming a major political consideration for the government in Tehran
IranGaza war will test Saudi-Iranian rapprochement
Iran-Saudi rapprochement remains shallow despite a call between the two leaders to discuss the Hamas-Israel war
IranIran-Azerbaijan ties will strengthen despite distrust
Azerbaijan’s victory over Armenia has created a dilemma for Iran’s over its position in the South Caucasus
IranIran’s Chabahar contribution faces challenges
The multinational Chabahar Transit Project remains incomplete, primarily due to international sanctions
IranRussia-Iran partnership will continue despite rows
Russia is no longer the senior partner in its relations with Iran but they still have much to keep them collaborating
Iran
