Libya
Western Libya will still struggle with armed groups
The Tripoli-based government is moving to deal with a recent spike in armed violence in areas under its authority
LibyaLibyan west faces rising insecurity and judicial risks
The Tripoli-based Government of National Unity's narrative of stability is coming under strain
LibyaThreats of instability in Libya abound in 2024
Challenges across multiple fronts are increasingly testing the country’s fragile political and economic structures
LibyaTripoli-based premier will aim at building legitimacy
The Tripoli-based government is taking measures that help address different grievances
LibyaLibyan energy ambitions will likely fall short
Oil production has been relatively stable after years of fluctuations and disruptions
LibyaLocal tensions will hurt Libya's oil sector
The authorities are unable to contain local grievances and fight fuel smuggling, resulting in a new oil field closure
LibyaDiscontent in east Libya will be quashed
East-based Khalifa Haftar and his forces are going to great lengths to prevent any possible opposition to their rule
LibyaLibya's leaders will resist UN political pressure
A newly announced effort by the UN envoy to Libya is not gaining traction yet
Libya
