ME/NAF
Russia will exploit tension but will not encourage war
Iran's missile and drone strikes on Israel on April 14 complicated Moscow's delicate balancing act in the Middle East
RussiaAbsent Mideast peace, Riyadh will prioritise a US deal
Riyadh wants to de-link its bilateral agreements with Washington from the Israeli-Palestinian conflict
Saudi ArabiaTurkey’s government will exert a heavy hand
The government deployed 40,000 police officers in Istanbul to deal with May Day celebrations
TurkeyDamascus will seek to deter southern demonstrations
The government and its allies are reportedly moving forces into Suweida, which has seen nine months of mounting protests
SyriaIran is approaching the limits of its oil expansion
Ambitious plans face constraints from production capacity and possibly reinforced sanctions
IranAbu Dhabi will push back against Sudanese accusations
The government has issued a statement rejecting allegations of involvement in the Sudanese civil war
United Arab EmiratesIsrael’s Netanyahu will likely keep up far-right ties
Legislators backing and opposing the current draft ceasefire/hostage deal with Hamas have both threatened the government
IsraelTurkey will face a long-term refugee problem
The country plays host to a substantive refugee population
Turkey
