Middle East / Africa
Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict may be protracted
The conflict in Amhara is intensifying, while there is almost no movement towards any kind of peace process
EthiopiaIndonesia oversupply will further tighten world nickel
The nickel market will be under pressure from oversupply and from its environmental unfriendliness into the 2030s
InternationalSenegal's new president may face obstacles to reform
President-elect Bassirou Diomaye Faye will today be sworn into office after an upset victory
SenegalBaku will resist a quick peace deal with Armenia
Tensions between the two countries remain high, with the chance of a comprehensive peace deal receding
ArmeniaSomalia and Turkey may struggle to realise oil deal
Somalia and Turkey have signed new deals to cooperate on maritime security and energy exploration
SomaliaLibya’s Amazigh will bargain hard for more rights
Tensions have spiked dramatically between the west-based Government of National Unity (GNU) and the non-Arab Amazigh
LibyaGeopolitics of AI technical standards will heat up
Technical standards for artificial intelligence (AI) will emerge slowly but geopolitical rifts over it will be intense
InternationalPipeline rupture threatens South Sudan’s stability
The rupture of a pipeline transporting oil through Sudan has deprived South Sudan’s government of 60% of its revenue
South Sudan
