Middle East / Africa
Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict is likely to persist
Resentments towards the government have boiled over into active rebellion in Amhara region
EthiopiaThe Gaza war will worsen Jordan’s long-term debt risk
The conflict's impact on local tourism is already hurting the fiscal and current accounts
JordanAfrican debt distress increases instability risks
Rising debt burdens are forcing governments to increase taxes, worsening the cost-of-living crisis
AfricaAlgeria's president will move to assert his authority
The president is more aggressively pushing through his priorities to position himself favourably ahead of new polls
AlgeriaRiyadh will edge into a more visible role in Africa
Geopolitical and economic imperatives are driving Riyadh’s increasing interest in the continent
Saudi ArabiaPolitics may aggravate Congo’s security challenges
A regional peacekeeping force is departing in the midst of a major security crisis
Congo-KinshasaBaku’s ties with the West will worsen
US Secretary of State Blinken and President Aliyev were in contact last month in an effort to improve fraying relations
AzerbaijanTunisia's president will scapegoat more businesspeople
Under economic pressure and with an eye to the 2024 elections, President Kais Saied is targeting the business class
Tunisia
