Middle East / Africa
Russia will lose more influence in the South Caucasus
Distracted by its war in Ukraine, Russia is unable to perform the role of regional hegemon in the South Caucasus
CaucasusProspects for the oil market in 2024
A wide divergence in demand forecasts casts uncertainty over oil markets in 2024
InternationalSaudi Arabia's EV market growth will be gradual
The government is establishing the foundations for a domestic EV market
Saudi ArabiaMilitary interventions face limits in the Sahel
The French are currently completing their withdrawal from Niger as the UN does the same in Mali
West AfricaSeverity of Israel’s downturn hinges on conflict moves
The Gaza war is having an impact across multiple economic sectors
IsraelKenyan police will not solve Haiti’s security woes
With most governments reluctant to provide personnel for a Haitian security support mission, Kenya has offered to lead
HaitiProspects for improved Algerian-Moroccan ties are low
Algeria’s 2024-25 UN Security Council seat promises diplomatic activism that keeps tensions high between the two states
AlgeriaOpposition schism will benefit Zambia’s ruling party
Infighting over leadership positions may trigger the implosion of the country’s main opposition party
Zambia
