Middle East / Africa
Israel’s Gaza war will spill over but not ignite Syria
Pro-Iranian and pro-Israeli actors can engage in violent signalling in Syria at relatively little political cost
SyriaProspects for coups in Africa in 2024
Africa has experienced nine successful coups since 2020
AfricaProspects for East Africa and the Great Lakes in 2024
After a relatively quieter year in 2023, the coming 12 months look set to pose renewed challenges across the region
East AfricaYemen's Huthis will seek to raise pressure on Israel
The Huthis launched several drone and missile attacks against Israel, but these have caused no damage
YemenProspects for world trade and supply chains in 2024
Supply chain conditions have normalised but world trade flows will remain weak into 2024
InternationalLiberian presidential election is too close to call
The second round of the presidential election pits President George Weah against former Vice President Joseph Boakai
LiberiaProspects for South Africa in 2024
The coming year looks set to be critical for South Africa, as the government struggles to address a multitude of crises
South AfricaForeign firms' influx will accelerate Saudi change
Global companies are considering arrangements to meet pending Saudi requirements for in-country regional representation
Saudi Arabia
