Middle East / Africa
Russia’s relations with Egypt will face limits
Russia and Egypt have grown closer as both countries seek to diversify their range of foreign partnerships
RussiaMali's junta may fail to change its war strategy
Jihadists launched a major raid on Bamako, inflicting serious military losses
MaliProlonged high costs will hit tourism rebound momentum
Tourism has recovered strongly in 2023 and 2024 but faces headwinds from high costs and geopolitical tensions
InternationalWagner loses control of CAR-South Sudan militia
A pan-national Azande militia has discarded its Russian handlers and is operating on the South Sudan-CAR border
South SudanInternal struggles may weaken Angola's MPLA
Senior personalities in the ruling MPLA are beginning to position themselves to succeed President Joao Lourenco
AngolaSaudi Arabia's labour market reform will face tests
Decades of labour market reform have failed to alter significantly the domination of private-sector jobs by expatriates
Saudi ArabiaMalawi VP’s death diminishes prospects for change
Following the vice president's death, the September 2025 presidential election looks likely to be a two-horse race
MalawiTunisian president will expect an assured victory
There have been protests ahead of the October 6 polls but years of repression mean they are unlikely to have much impact
Tunisia
