Middle East / Africa
Syria will struggle to monetise Gulf relations
As the ‘normalisation’ agenda advances slowly, there is little immediate hope for the struggling economy
SyriaNew Congo cabinet consolidates president’s position
The president has integrated several prominent political figures into a pre-election cabinet
Congo-KinshasaSudan faces serious risks of a protracted civil war
Differences over security sector reform have sparked deadly violence in multiple states
SudanGlobal spyware industry will expand despite scrutiny
The surveillance-for-hire industry faces unprecedented scrutiny from governments, the media and civil society
InternationalThe Tunisian military will face new tests
President Kais Saied has courted the military, making it appear to side with his agenda
TunisiaTehran’s online messaging about Riyadh will evolve
Iran’s top leaders' online media ignored the recent Riyadh-Tehran deal, but state media have highlighted its benefits
IranGlobal cocaine trade will evolve rapidly
The COVID-19 pandemic had a profound impact on the cocaine trade, which is a hotbed of development and innovation
InternationalRussia will resist US pressure in Libya
US engagement in Libya is increasing, with the aim of opposing Russian influence and removing Wagner Group fighters
United States
