Predictions have key limits in global risk assessment
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In this article
- Why predictions fail
- Overly-long time horizon
- Too few data points
- Mirror imaging hazards
- A better way
What is this?
This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.