Prospects 2022
CIS
![Communists and others at Lenin’s mausoleum commemorate the 1917 Revolution on November 7, a date no longer officially marked (Kommersant Photo Agency/Shutterstock) Communists and others at Lenin’s mausoleum commemorate the 1917 Revolution on November 7, a date no longer officially marked (Kommersant Photo Agency/Shutterstock)](https://g.oxan.com/analysis/DB265368/2021-11-11-5-RUSSIA_350.jpg)
Russian politics
The Kremlin will consolidate political arrangements and practices, including repression, rather than make major changes
![Russian-made T-72 tanks in Donetsk, eastern Ukraine, June 2020 (Dave Mustaine/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock) Russian-made T-72 tanks in Donetsk, eastern Ukraine, June 2020 (Dave Mustaine/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock)](https://g.oxan.com/analysis/DB265514/2021-11-17-5-RUSSIA_350.jpg)
Russian foreign policy
Russia's intentions towards Ukraine are the immediate worry; its threats may be a tactic to cool Kyiv-NATO engagement
Russian economy
As demand revives, oil and gas will be the mainstays of GDP growth