Prospects 2019

Asia Pacific

A second term for Prime Minister Narendra Modi is likely, though the election could throw up a surprise

The situation on the Korean peninsula is still unstable; continued detente cannot be taken for granted

Subtle fiscal and monetary policy loosening will shore up economic activity amid rising external risks

Islamabad should have its long-anticipated IMF bailout, but macroeconomic woes may be less pressing than social tensions

Washington's trade and security policies have hit harder than expected, with consequences for China at home and abroad

Thailand will be in the spotlight as it chairs ASEAN and potentially holds a general election

China's ambitious project has sprouted multiple new limbs and runs the risk of overreach