Prospects 2019

Middle East / North Africa

An economic squeeze will prompt protests that Tehran will address with a mix of repression and concession

Now the government-opposition conflict is effectively over, external actors will vie for land, resources and influence

Finances will improve throughout the year, and the Khashoggi fallout may spur regional policy shifts

The budget outlook is positive, but security challenges will increase and poor resource distribution could bring unrest

Barring an economic collapse, Erdogan and the AKP will stay firmly in control

Amid socioeconomic and political unrest, three North African countries await elections in 2019

EU's external migration policy will not prepare the bloc for a future migrant crisis